The Bank of Portugal Pegs 2026 Growth Below the Government's, Exposing a Budget Gap
In its June Economic Bulletin, the Bank of Portugal held its 2026 growth forecast at 1.8%, two-tenths below the 2% the government's budget assumes. Public finances stay healthy — a 0.2% deficit — but inflation above 3% and the closing recovery-fund window make the optimists' number harder to hit.