Banco de Portugal's June Boletim Económico Cuts the 2026 Deficit Forecast to 0.2% of GDP — Net Expenditure Trajectory Breaches the Brussels Commitment as Iran-War Severe Scenario Lifts 2027 Inflation to 4.3%
Banco de Portugal's June Boletim Económico cut the 2026 deficit forecast from 0.4% to 0.2% of GDP, but warns net expenditure growth breaches the Brussels commitment. Iran-war severe scenario lifts 2027 inflation to 4.3% and trims growth by 0.5pp.