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Markets, Business & Tech Briefing: PSI Sinks 1.8%, BCP Slides, Galp Bucks the Trend

Markets, Business & Tech Briefing: PSI Sinks 1.8%, BCP Slides, Galp Bucks the Trend

Wednesday, 8 July 2026. Lisbon gave back Tuesday's gains and then some, sliding to one of the sharpest single-day falls in Europe as the banks and the grocer that had led recent sessions swung hard into reverse. The PSI shed close to 1.8%, with lender BCP and grocer Jerónimo Martins each down more than 4%, unwinding the previous day's rebound almost exactly. The lone bright spot was Galp, which climbed more than 4% against the tide. Below: the session's shape and who drove it, why Portuguese debt costs are ticking higher across the curve, and two business stories worth watching — London-listed ICG's €200 million bet on a Portuguese trucking group, and a new government scheme to steady electricity prices and revive ageing wind farms.

Where the market stands

Portugal's benchmark PSI closed Wednesday at around 9,085 points, down roughly 1.77%, or about 164 points — among the heaviest losses on any European bourse and a near-total erasure of Tuesday's advance. The pullback still leaves the index up about 2% over the past month and around 16.6% over the past year, so this was a give-back rather than a break in the longer trend. The damage was concentrated in the heavyweights: lender BCP — Banco Comercial Português (Portuguese Commercial Bank) tumbled about 4.5%, its sharpest drop in weeks and a stark reversal after leading the market higher for days, while grocer Jerónimo Martins fell roughly 4.4% to give back Tuesday's bounce and slide back toward the 52-week lows it has haunted for weeks. The EDP family weighed too, with the parent off about 1.4% and EDP Renováveis (EDP Renewables) down around 2.6%; Sonae and Semapa each lost close to 1.9%. Bucking the sell-off was energy group Galp, which jumped about 4.2% — the index's best performer — helped by firmer crude and continued interest in its Iberian renewables push, including the Spanish wind portfolio it is chasing.

Bonds tick higher, the euro softens

In fixed income, the Portuguese 10-year yield rose about 11 basis points to roughly 3.48%, extending a steady climb across euro-area debt as investors trimmed bond exposure. Even after the move, the spread over the German Bund held near 40 basis points — still one of the tightest readings in years and a continuing vote of confidence in Portugal's public finances, which fund near the cheapest levels on the euro-zone periphery. In currencies, EUR/USD eased to around 1.1414, slipping back from about 1.1423 the day before as the dollar firmed modestly. Rising yields and a slightly softer euro made for a less supportive backdrop, and equities felt it — though a still-compressed sovereign spread suggests the move was risk trimming rather than any fresh worry about Portuguese credit.

Business: London's ICG puts €200 million into a Portuguese trucking champion

London-listed asset manager ICG — Intermediate Capital Group, through its infrastructure arm ICG Infra, has agreed to buy a 33.5% stake in Grupo Paulo Duarte (Paulo Duarte Group) and will invest up to €200 million to accelerate the family firm's growth across Iberia. Founded in 1946, the group is a specialist in the road haulage of fuel, chemicals and liquid foodstuffs, turning over roughly €140 million a year and running a fleet of about 2,000 heavy vehicles, most of them company-owned. The stated aim is to build one of the largest road-freight operators on the Iberian Peninsula, with the capital earmarked for a fresh round of fleet renewal, digitalisation and logistics infrastructure, plus expansion into new regions of Portugal and Spain. Brothers Gustavo and António Paulo Duarte stay on to run the business, with ICG taking a minority position — a template of patient institutional money backing an established mid-cap exporter that has become a recurring feature of Portuguese dealmaking this year.

Business: government moves to steady power prices and revive old wind farms

On the policy front, the government approved the introduction of bidirectional Contracts for Difference (2w-CfDs) into Portuguese law, a mechanism designed to stabilise electricity prices, shield consumers from wholesale swings and channel fresh investment into renewables. Under a two-way contract, producers are topped up when market prices fall below an agreed strike level but pay the difference back when prices run above it — capping windfalls and softening spikes for households and industry alike. Priority under the scheme goes to the repowering of existing wind farms, replacing ageing turbines with more efficient machines on sites already connected to the grid. The move is squarely relevant to the PSI's energy names: more than 80% of the electricity generated in Portugal in the first quarter came from renewable sources, the second-highest share in the EU, and utilities such as the EDP group and Galp are the natural beneficiaries of a regime that de-risks new and refurbished renewable capacity.

The week ahead

After a violent round-trip — up Tuesday, sharply down Wednesday — the question is whether Thursday brings stabilisation or another leg lower. Watch whether BCP and the banks find a floor after today's drubbing, whether Jerónimo Martins steadies or keeps sinking toward its lows, and whether Galp can hold its outperformance as crude and its Spanish wind bid stay in focus. On the macro side, a further climb in the 10-year yield would test the narrative that Portugal still funds cheaply, though the tight Bund spread argues the pressure is euro-area-wide rather than country-specific. The domestic calendar to watch remains the binding-offer stretch of the TAP Air Portugal privatisation due at month-end; any headline there, or on Galp's Spanish wind pursuit, is the item most likely to move local sentiment while equities otherwise track the wider European mood.